“Society and Security: Where Are We Headed?” Conference

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In preparation for the “Society and Security: Where Are We Headed?” conference (March 19) of Makor Rishon in collaboration with the Tachlit Institute, we conducted a special survey examining the public’s position on various substantive issues on the agenda of the Israeli public. In the survey, we sought to examine public attitudes regarding the political map, trust in authorities, and levels of optimism and hope for the future.

The survey was conducted in March 2024, with the help of the “Midgam” institute of Manu Geva. The survey included 501 respondents who constitute a representative sample of the adult population in Israel and it was conducted online through ipanel.

Political Issues

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The events of October 7 shocked Israeli society; a shock that is also evident in changes in the political map and in the way respondents vote:

  • If Knesset elections were held today, 22% of respondents intend to vote for the Mamlachti (State) Camp, while 11% said they would vote for Likud.
  • 20% of Likud voters in the last elections intend to vote for the Mamlachti Camp, 23% indicated they do not know who they will vote for.
  • 18% believe that a centrist government of the large parties (Likud, Mamlachti Camp, Yesh Atid, and Yisrael Beiteinu) would be the best for the State of Israel.
  • Among those who voted for the Netanyahu bloc in the 22nd elections, the majority prefer a narrow right-wing government (29%) or a unity government including the ultra-Orthodox and without Arabs (31%). In the anti-Netanyahu bloc, they prefer a centrist government of the large parties (30%) and then a government similar to the “Government of Change” (20%).

Public Trust in Authorities | Trust or Not Trust?

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The loss of security that occurred on October 7 and in the Mount Meron disaster led to a loss of trust, where most of the public, both from the right and the left, do not trust the authorities to prevent a future disaster:

  • About two-thirds of respondents (67%) do not trust state authorities to prevent recurrence of disasters such as October 7 and the Mount Meron disaster (65%).
  • Among right-wing people, the rate of those who trust state authorities to learn lessons is relatively high (49% among those who intend to vote for the Netanyahu bloc in the next elections, and 40% among those who voted in the past but will not vote in the future).
  • Only 20% of respondents trust elected officials to know how to put the public interest before personal and political interests, about 75% do not trust, of which 40% “do not trust at all.”
  • The rates of those who trust elected officials to know how to put the public interest before personal and political interests are high among religious respondents (47%) and among young people aged 18-24 (28%).

Israel's Future

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More than half of the respondents indicated that internal division and polarization is perceived as more dangerous to the future of the State of Israel (53%), compared to about 40% who indicated that an external security threat is more dangerous in their eyes.

Agreement with Statements

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As part of the survey, respondents were asked to indicate their level of agreement with certain statements:

  1. 70% of respondents agreed with the statement: “Positions of trust are appropriate, only assuming they meet the professional criteria required to fulfill the role”
  2. 70% of respondents agreed with the statement: “Anyone who says that only the other side made mistakes has learned nothing from the events of October 7.”
  3. 64% of respondents agreed with the statement: “The events of October 7 proved that we all made mistakes, both from the right and from the left.”

Optimism and hope

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At the end of the survey, we sought to examine the level of optimism and hope for the future of the respondents.

  • About 40% of respondents believe that Israeli society has changed on October 7 and will implement the slogan “together we will win“, of whom only 7% “strongly believe“. More than half of the respondents do not believe that a change will occur.
  • More than 60% of respondents believe that the State of Israel will succeed in recovering and overcoming the challenges and threats it faces, only 27% do not believe, of whom 5% “do not believe at all“.

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